We’ve covered GLM 5.2 very excitedly before, and Prof Jie Tang’s belief that there will be an open weights Fable-class model by end of the year (spot check - with 134 days left, there are now two 2-3T models (Qwen 3.8 Max and Kimi K3) with estimates that Fable is 3-7T, and only 2 points higher on the AA index.)
Prof Jie Tang is back on X to tell us that our shorthand for model sizes is no longer enough: “Parameter count is only meaningful alongside three others — how much data you have, where you intend to spend your compute, and who will run the model, under what conditions.”
We have covered Chinchilla (and post-Chinchilla) scaling laws in past LS years, but, so we will skip the history lesson, but it is good to level-set on why Chinchilla’s assumptions were wrong in the Inference Inflection world (no fixed number, between 200-900 toks/param, citing Roberts et al on task dependence).…